A Model of Multi-turn Human Persuadability Using Probabilistic Belief Tracing

In three linesPERSUASIONTRACE is a framework for studying persuasion in human-LLM interactions. It records multi-turn belief changes, annotates rhetorical strategies (logos/pathos/ethos), and evaluates simulators by fidelity to real human belief dynamics. A Bayesian model maintaining explicit latent belief state achieves 81/100 human-likeness vs 64 for vanilla LLMs.

Summary generated by Claude — human-verified