Credibility-Weighted Pricing of Autonomous Vehicle Liability Under Operational Design Domain Shift

In three linesHierarchical Bayesian credibility framework for pricing autonomous vehicle liability under operational design domain shifts. Tested on 648 verified Waymo crashes (4 US cities, 116M miles): credibility weights moderate (0.12-0.46), partial pooling decisively outperforms no pooling, learned kernel advantage detectable at ~12 deployed cities.

Summary generated by Claude — human-verified