The Weight Norm Sets the Grokking Timescale: A Causal Delay Law
Causal study on grokking: the delay before generalization depends on weight norm. Under free weight decay, networks grok at a stable critical norm Wc (CV 1–2%). When norm is clamped to ρ×Wc, delay follows T_grok ∝ exp(α·ρ) with α≈7.5 (R²=0.996 across 4 moduli). Norm controls delay 19× more than learning rate.